• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1000

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Tue May 27 01:58:35 2025
    ACUS11 KWNS 270158
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 270157=20
    TXZ000-270330-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1000
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0857 PM CDT Mon May 26 2025

    Areas affected...south-central/southeast TX

    Concerning...Tornado Watch 331...

    Valid 270157Z - 270330Z

    The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 331 continues.

    SUMMARY...Destructive wind gusts and brief tornadoes should remain
    probable with an intense QLCS moving east-southeast from central
    into southeast Texas, where an additional watch will be issued.

    DISCUSSION...The northern end of an intense QLCS has consistently
    had 80-90 kt inbound velocities upon approach to the KGRK radar, at
    or above 800 ft AGL. Thus far, measured surface gusts have only
    reached 50 kts, but will likely increase as this surge crosses I-35
    and accelerates eastward into southeast TX. A separate severe wind
    swath should form where an intense supercell remnant will spread north-northeast of the KEWX radar. Transient mesovortices will pose
    an enhanced threat for destructive wind gusts/brief tornadoes.

    ..Grams/Mosier.. 05/27/2025

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!_qXEYMcEAn2_IXysIY-lOzonSaI_Qd5WaDD5i0808u2vr2NQ0R39kyFv8rCf-Vj-zR-uPd4Wf= koZ6So7iJdiyNNt1oc$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...HGX...FWD...EWX...

    LAT...LON 31049761 31099711 31129643 30689612 30299617 29839623
    29579645 29389686 29309739 29309773 29369817 29649831
    29959800 31049761=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...85-100 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN


    =3D =3D =3D
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