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  • MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1068

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Mon Jun 2 00:40:15 2025
    ACUS11 KWNS 020039
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 020039=20
    TXZ000-020215-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1068
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0739 PM CDT Sun Jun 01 2025

    Areas affected...North-central TX

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 352...

    Valid 020039Z - 020215Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 352
    continues.

    SUMMARY...A damaging hail/wind threat will continue this evening.

    DISCUSSION...A left-moving supercell has recently developed and
    produced 2+ inch hail on the south side of Fort Worth. This cell may
    continue propagating eastward along a surging outflow into the
    eastern part of the Metroplex. Large to very large hail and severe
    outflow gusts will continue to be a short-term threat with this
    cell.=20=20

    Additional cells continue to develop south and west of the
    Metroplex. Hodographs will continue to support splitting cells,
    though right-moving cells have struggled to persist within an
    environment with increasing MLCINH. It remains possible that a
    right-moving cell or two could persist and propagate southward, with
    a threat for hail, localized severe gusts, and possibly a tornado.=20

    Left-moving cells may continue to thrive in the short term. Another
    apparent left-moving supercell has developed west of the Metroplex,
    and there is some potential for this cell to continue eastward atop
    the expanding outflow, with a damaging hail/wind threat. With a
    continued severe threat near the north edge of the watch and
    potentially to the east of the watch, local watch expansion is being considered.

    ..Dean/Hart.. 06/02/2025

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!_beAjaCJ6d516krdBzjBpaAW7QN2BGgcnfh61LXyH2brr7y9EiIFAXSRY0D0J2fUImvSi5OeX= Ok7H-jKQ_O5DjQzRyk$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...FWD...

    LAT...LON 32069562 31729580 31229669 31279744 31779801 32579863
    32979814 33029673 32829582 32499562 32379557 32069562=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN


    =3D =3D =3D
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