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  • MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1084

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Tue Jun 3 00:29:22 2025
    ACUS11 KWNS 030029
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 030028=20
    NEZ000-KSZ000-COZ000-030230-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1084
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0728 PM CDT Mon Jun 02 2025

    Areas affected...Southwest and south-central Nebraska...northwest
    Kansas

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 356...357...

    Valid 030028Z - 030230Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 356, 357
    continues.

    SUMMARY...A developing severe wind threat will soon impact northwest
    Kansas. The severe threat is also expected to increase in southwest
    and south-central Nebraska this evening. Severe wind gusts are the
    main concern, though isolated large hail is also possible.

    DISCUSSION...The strongest activity in WW 357 is within central
    Nebraska. Here, inflow to storms along the front has been more
    unstable/buoyant than farther northeast. The low-level jet is in the
    process of strengthening per the KGLD/KDDC VAD. This should help to
    sustain strong to severe storms into the evening. Furthermore,
    ascent from a shortwave trough in eastern Colorado should also
    contribute to an expansion of activity into southwest/south-central
    Nebraska. The exact evolution of this activity is uncertain. A
    cluster storms near Goodland, KS has shown a strong wind signature
    on KGLD radar and has had a history of measure 64-79 mph winds. As
    that activity continues north it will eventually interact with the
    front to the north. The growing cluster of storms in central
    Nebraska may also develop a strong enough cold pool to push
    southward into larger MLCAPE.

    ..Wendt.. 06/03/2025

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!-DAlnZMyqzIXiTDzjHHPJeypq8F3wAd-N5UUWQTsustpXDhnNFrEG4fuakjqQBL4ZJffYWj4j= pggbikY6ir51GOSeQI$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...OAX...GID...LBF...GLD...BOU...

    LAT...LON 39760010 38970083 38970120 39080163 39350198 39740204
    40770206 41450043 41759938 41559826 41319820 40759825
    40289893 39760010=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN


    =3D =3D =3D
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