• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1087

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Tue Jun 3 04:34:45 2025
    ACUS11 KWNS 030433
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 030433=20
    IAZ000-MOZ000-NEZ000-KSZ000-030600-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1087
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    1133 PM CDT Mon Jun 02 2025

    Areas affected...Parts of eastern NE into western IA

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 357...

    Valid 030433Z - 030600Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 357
    continues.

    SUMMARY...A localized severe threat may continue overnight.

    DISCUSSION...A cluster of storms recently intensified across
    south-central NE, as a northeastward-surging outflow emanating from
    KS intersected ongoing convection and its associated outflow.
    Several reports of 50-70 mph gusts have been noted with this
    convection. Downstream intensity and organization of this storm
    cluster is uncertain, due to currently limited buoyancy with
    eastward extent. However, moisture transport associated with a
    rather strong low-level jet will help to increase buoyancy ahead of
    this cluster, and potentially sustain it as it moves
    east-northeastward.=20

    While convection may tend to remain somewhat elevated overnight, at
    least an isolated threat of damaging wind may spread into eastern NE
    and western IA, especially if the ongoing cluster can maintain some organization. Stronger embedded cores may also be capable of
    producing isolated hail. WW 357 has been expanded eastward in order
    to address the continued severe threat.

    ..Dean.. 06/03/2025

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!8eKBY-8zWIfHn_JHnrpvupfyPr239Ijm8pLyF4zjOUYd989resRjsVGzCStGBG7NyoMkUK-ON= TDcN593-kKM08KC-lU$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...DMX...EAX...FSD...OAX...TOP...GID...LBF...

    LAT...LON 40839824 41759853 42329645 42279574 42199542 41749501
    41049514 40729535 40409592 40109659 39899725 39949757
    40839824=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN


    =3D =3D =3D
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