ACUS11 KWNS 071745
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 071745=20
ALZ000-MSZ000-071945-

Mesoscale Discussion 1176
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1245 PM CDT Sat Jun 07 2025

Areas affected...Parts of northern AL and far northeastern MS

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 384...385...

Valid 071745Z - 071945Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 384, 385
continues.

SUMMARY...The risk of a swath of damaging winds is increasing across
northern Alabama and vicinity.

DISCUSSION...Recent radar trends from KGWX shows an increasingly
organized cold pool accompanying an MCS tracking eastward from far
northeastern MS into northern AL at 40 kt. Around 30-40 kt of
line-normal 0-6 km shear (per VWP and mesoanalysis data) will favor
continued organization -- especially as the the moist inflow (lower
70s dewpoints) continues to diurnally destabilize. As the MCS
continues eastward across northern AL and far southern Middle TN,
the primary concern will be a swath of damaging winds (with embedded
gusts as high as 75 mph possible) through at least 20Z. While less
certain, an embedded/brief tornado cannot be ruled out with any
mesovorticies that evolve along the leading gust front.

..Weinman.. 06/07/2025

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!8bwDNvgJ96reg-xpnR_d0wJyw_gV6q_Cy3qzLORLRk_cHohLkJjezY5EaNx7UfauZNRUOECil= 2SKqLTkJIkvgp8UMhk$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...BMX...HUN...MEG...JAN...

LAT...LON 33668848 34308839 34558828 34808790 34868740 34838682
34728643 34458613 33678619 33298653 33238755 33278801
33398834 33668848=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN


=3D =3D =3D
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