• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2048

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Sun Sep 7 22:00:33 2025
    ACUS11 KWNS 072200
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 072159=20
    FLZ000-072300-

    Mesoscale Discussion 2048
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0459 PM CDT Sun Sep 07 2025

    Areas affected...Portions of North and Central Florida

    Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

    Valid 072159Z - 072300Z

    Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

    SUMMARY...Isolated strong storms along the Atlantic sea breeze
    boundary may produce wind damage.

    DISCUSSION...Scattered thunderstorms have developed along an outflow
    boundary and the Atlantic sea breeze boundary. On the southern
    fringe of a broad upper trough across the East, effective shear has
    been marginally enhanced. The strongest shear will be generally
    north of the outflow boundary, but augmentation along the sea breeze
    boundary may allow for a few stronger storms to form within that
    zone. The strongest activity will tend to propagate southward over
    the next couple of hours. Shear is strong enough for brief, marginal
    supercell structures (some weak rotation was noted on KMLB/KJAX
    velocity imagery). Isolated wind damage is possible late this
    afternoon.

    ..Wendt/Mosier.. 09/07/2025

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!5a5CQl6TOqONydlrlnPT-NlX09TjiJOy30tOGi7164DkgM6NPY5qFCk6suNmu1hcKXCWAl3qX= 09U6LdKcr5V941S9Dw$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...MLB...TBW...JAX...

    LAT...LON 29298244 29648244 29828181 29348106 28988082 28738104
    28798173 29298244=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH


    =3D =3D =3D
    To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.

    --- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)