ACUS11 KWNS 260637
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 260637=20
LAZ000-MSZ000-260800-

Mesoscale Discussion 2182
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0137 AM CDT Sun Oct 26 2025

Areas affected...Parts of south-central Louisiana into far southwest Mississippi

Concerning...Tornado Watch 632...

Valid 260637Z - 260800Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 632 continues.

SUMMARY...The risk of a couple tornadoes and locally damaging gusts
will continue spreading eastward across southern Louisiana and far
southern Mississippi early this morning -- within Tornado Watch 632.

DISCUSSION...An earlier band of convection has largely devolved into disorganized semi-discrete elements while tracking slowly eastward
across southern LA this morning. Ahead of this activity, the HDC VWP
is sampling 40-kt flow between 0.5 and 1 km. This flow field is
coincident with around 2-mb surface pressure falls and resulting in
increased low-level hodograph curvature compared to the earlier
pre-convective environment farther west. While the continued messy
storm mode and only modest low-level mass response continue to cast
uncertainty on the overall severe risk, the implied low-level
streamwise vorticity and moist boundary layer (lower 70s dewpoints)
will continue to support a risk of a couple tornadoes with eastward
extent.

..Weinman.. 10/26/2025

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!8Hf78x68PmG6nxMoTS_swWAFafoE1sXLh0sMf2g406_L4QrFn_-gayF8aoYQFFe3B9fhWFQQb= HN67STkQ_qH_0Ahxik$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...JAN...LIX...LCH...

LAT...LON 31009094 30659092 30209112 29959146 29869193 29989226
30219230 30749197 31159158 31309134 31229110 31009094=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH


=3D =3D =3D
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