• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2184

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Sun Oct 26 11:18:09 2025
    ACUS11 KWNS 261118
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 261117=20
    MSZ000-LAZ000-261245-

    Mesoscale Discussion 2184
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0617 AM CDT Sun Oct 26 2025

    Areas affected...Parts of southeastern Louisiana and southern
    Mississippi

    Concerning...Tornado Watch 633...

    Valid 261117Z - 261245Z

    The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 633 continues.

    SUMMARY...A notable uptick in thunderstorm intensity is evident
    across parts of southeastern Louisiana into southern Mississippi --
    within Tornado Watch 633. This trend may continue for at least
    another couple hours, with a risk for a couple tornadoes.

    DISCUSSION...The latest radar and lightning data indicate an
    increase in thunderstorm intensity/organization over the last hour
    -- generally in a north-south corridor extending from southeast LA
    into southern MS. A couple radar-confirmed tornadoes have been noted
    with this activity. The broken band of supercells are evolving east-northeastward in an environment characterized by
    enlarged/clockwise-curved low-level hodographs (upwards of 250 m2/s2
    0-1 km SRH per VWP) and lower 70s boundary-layer dewpoints. As these established storms and favorable environment continue spreading
    eastward this morning, the risk for couple tornadoes will continue
    across Tornado Watch 633.

    ..Weinman.. 10/26/2025

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!93NY0B0kaBUzcdKLrF_3rH04lOu--98xsibal49bsqH1tecZ7g1PasTR-W_uhLVaBipFN044G= _VH8d0OWA4MOCHOJvY$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...MOB...JAN...LIX...

    LAT...LON 29629090 31309002 31438983 31428945 31238921 30178952
    29199002 29109032 29359081 29629090=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH


    =3D =3D =3D
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