• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0205

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/107 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Wed Mar 11 05:57:07 2026
    ACUS11 KWNS 110557
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 110556=20
    OHZ000-MIZ000-INZ000-110700-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0205
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    1256 AM CDT Wed Mar 11 2026

    Areas affected...portions of northeastern Indiana and northwest Ohio

    Concerning...Tornado Watch 37...

    Valid 110556Z - 110700Z

    The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 37 continues.

    SUMMARY...A cluster of strong to occasionally severe storms should
    continue along the frontal zone from northern IN into northwest OH.
    Occasional severe gusts or hail are possible, but the downstream
    threat should become increasingly isolated.

    DISCUSSION...As of 0555 UTC, regional radar showed a cluster of
    thunderstorms propagating eastward along the frontal zone in
    Northeast IN. A recent gust to 51 kts was reported at KGSH,
    indicating that these storms remain capable of occasional severe
    winds. The environment downstream is modestly buoyant and strongly
    sheared along the frontal zone. This should be sufficient to
    maintain modest organization of stronger updrafts for a few hours.
    Given increasing nocturnal inhibition and a tendency for the front
    to undercut these storm with time, the expectation is for them to
    gradually weaken into northwestern OH. While isolated severe gusts
    will remain possible, a downstream watch appears unlikely given the
    expected weakening trend. Convective trends will continue to be
    monitored.

    ..Lyons.. 03/11/2026

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!9MjKRsOznsEuZx2YJqizbs4kdoiwQ4Pj7Zvw6UXrPJrkWMO5KnOhiWZcsCCo1od_5vbcgvniD= aGEp_ep4pHQPmp2kc8$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...CLE...DTX...IWX...

    LAT...LON 41428652 41628558 41738452 41708351 41498332 41258331
    41088342 41058455 41138580 41118641 41148675 41428652=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN


    =3D =3D =3D
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