ACUS11 KWNS 121036
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 121035=20
SCZ000-GAZ000-FLZ000-121200-

Mesoscale Discussion 0230
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0535 AM CDT Thu Mar 12 2026

Areas affected...Parts of central/southern GA into the FL Panhandle
and a small part of western SC

Concerning...Tornado Watch 49...

Valid 121035Z - 121200Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 49 continues.

SUMMARY...The threat for damaging winds and embedded brief tornadoes
may continue to spread eastward through dawn. Downstream watch
issuance is possible.

DISCUSSION...A QLCS is moving across parts of GA and FL Panhandle as
of 1030 UTC. Several embedded circulations and possible brief
tornadoes have been noted over the last 1-2 hours, especially where
discrete cells earlier merged into the line across far southeast AL
into southwest GA. Downstream of this QLCS, increasing low-level
flow has been noted from the KJGX and KVAX VWPs. This strengthening
flow will continue to aid in low-level moisture transport
along/ahead of the line. The gradually increasing downstream
moisture and buoyancy, combined with ascent attendant to a
fast-moving mid/upper-level shortwave trough, will help to sustain
organized convection through dawn as the QLCS moves
east-northeastward.=20

The strongest surface pressure falls at 10 UTC were noted in advance
of the north-south oriented portion of the line moving across west-central/southwest GA, with strong pressure rises noted in the
wake of this section of the line. A corridor of somewhat greater
wind-damage potential may accompany this portion of the line as it
moves across central GA. Otherwise, at least locally damaging wind
will remain possible along the length of the QLCS, with strong
low-level flow/shear supporting embedded brief-tornado potential.=20

The magnitude of destabilization into parts of eastern GA and SC
remains uncertain, though if the QLCS remains organized, some
potential for wind damage and brief tornadoes may eventually spread
east of locally expanded WW 49. Downstream watch issuance is
possible, depending on short-term observational trends.

..Dean/Mosier.. 03/12/2026

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!6dYtBkgLn6xIQuD16zo72sPoVw8aBdLUIXtOy3vn0Km_Tf2PGCY5_n1cY5yXBWFxkzIlPQCTN= 8jZ0aeFG1yz5AtDCP8$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...CHS...CAE...GSP...JAX...FFC...TAE...

LAT...LON 32958390 33678347 34018253 33958179 33408170 32598189
31748243 30878341 30098432 29768492 29768541 29838576
30008586 30388582 30958486 31938411 32958390=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-130 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH


=3D =3D =3D
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