ACUS11 KWNS 121352
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 121352=20
NCZ000-SCZ000-GAZ000-121515-

Mesoscale Discussion 0232
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0852 AM CDT Thu Mar 12 2026

Areas affected...eastern SC and southern/eastern NC

Concerning...Tornado Watch 50...

Valid 121352Z - 121515Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 50 continues.

SUMMARY...Damaging wind and brief tornado threats will shift across
eastern South Carolina into southern/eastern North Carolina through
early afternoon. A downstream watch issuance is likely.

DISCUSSION...Most prominent portion of a low-topped convective line
is across central to southern SC. It is expected to persist
east-northeast through midday into early afternoon, ahead of the
shortwave trough moving northeast in the Southeast. While MLCAPE
will remain meager, some cloud breaks ahead of the line will yield
modest boundary-layer warming. This should aid in damaging wind gust
potential, supported by the 00Z HREF strong to severe wind signal
from eastern portions of SC to NC. Low-level hodographs will remain
most enlarged within the ongoing tornado watch 50 through northeast
SC to southern NC. This region should have a persistent brief
tornado threat, downstream of transient mesovortices evident in
south-central SC.

..Grams/Gleason.. 03/12/2026

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!-S3v8PtXuvMCOEcdhNniSZgB4wrIGzeiCRrie4IukIxFOPiQ7prURHCgrxOSqVLh9E60KXGfh= MKXBv97qCw5f82WeHI$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...ILM...CHS...CAE...GSP...

LAT...LON 33048165 34208124 34728089 35088017 35657910 35897775
35957679 35617618 35087644 33897813 32767988 32628078
32638145 33048165=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH


=3D =3D =3D
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