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  • MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1906

    From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Mon Aug 10 22:29:06 2026
    ACUS11 KWNS 102228
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 102228
    NJZ000-MDZ000-DEZ000-VAZ000-110000-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1906
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0528 PM CDT Mon Aug 10 2026

    Areas affected...Parts of southeast VA into the Delmarva Peninsula
    and far southern NJ

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 556...558...

    Valid 102228Z - 110000Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 556, 558
    continues.

    SUMMARY...Scattered damaging winds remain possible this evening with
    a line of thunderstorms moving east-southeastward towards the
    Atlantic Coast.

    DISCUSSION...A well-developed squall line with a history of
    producing scattered wind damage across southern/central VA will
    continue to track east-southeastward this evening. The airmass ahead
    of the line remains moderately unstable, with surface temperatures
    generally in the upper 80s to low 90s, and dewpoints in the 70s.
    Even though mid-level lapse rates remain modest, daytime heating has
    supported steepening of low-level lapse rates. This, coupled with
    around 30-40 kt of mid-level west-northwesterlies, will likely
    support scattered damaging wind potential with the line for the next
    couple of hours as it approaches the Atlantic Coast. A couple of
    cells that have developed ahead of the line across far southeast VA
    may also pose an isolated risk for severe hail in the short term. A
    local extension in area for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 558 may be
    needed for the rest of southeast VA based on current trends.

    ..Gleason.. 08/10/2026

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fjg!4k3o34lU65zx4kNwa2zh4ncXOhRX1E9kVKkVun3RiAfkDC2bqFRv4SCVBQtdO3fV_oY5N2bP_hk2f48yu9RuXh2cgJo$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...PHI...AKQ...LWX...

    LAT...LON 36997829 37967733 38767634 39277564 39377526 39267477
    39187456 38867470 38097510 37097586 36777628 36667732
    36777814 36997829

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN


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    --- scorpsmtpd
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)