• ADVISORY 3A TS Beryl

    From Mike Powell@618:250/1 to All on Sat Jun 29 08:05:00 2024
    728
    WTNT32 KNHC 291232 CCA
    TCPAT2

    BULLETIN
    Tropical Storm Beryl Intermediate Advisory Number 3A...Corrected
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022024
    800 AM AST Sat Jun 29 2024

    Corrected distance from Barbados

    ...BERYL STRENGTHENING...
    ...EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE BEFORE IT REACHES THE WINDWARD ISLANDS...


    SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...9.8N 46.8W
    ABOUT 890 MI...1435 KM ESE OF BARBADOS
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 21 MPH...33 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

    None

    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

    A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
    * Barbados

    Interests elsewhere in the Lesser Antilles should closely monitor
    the progress of Beryl. Additional watches and warnings will likely
    be required for portions of this area later this morning.

    For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
    products issued by your national meteorological service.


    DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
    ----------------------
    At 800 AM AST (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Beryl was
    located near latitude 9.8 North, longitude 46.8 West. Beryl is
    moving toward the west near 21 mph (33 km/h). A relatively quick
    westward to west-northwestward motion is expected during the next
    few days. On the forecast track, the system is expected to move
    across the Windward Islands late Sunday night and Monday.

    Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 60 mph (95 km/h)
    with higher gusts. Steady to rapid strengthening is expected during
    the next couple of days, and Beryl is forecast to become a
    hurricane tonight or early Sunday with additional strengthening
    expected after that.

    Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km)
    from the center.

    The estimated minimum central pressure is 999 mb (29.50 inches).


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    Key messages for Tropical Storm Beryl can be found in the
    Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2 and WMO
    header WTNT42 KNHC.

    WIND: Hurricane conditions are possible in the hurricane watch area
    by Sunday night or Monday morning, with tropical storm conditions
    possible on Sunday.

    STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge will raise water levels by
    as much as 2 to 4 feet above normal tide levels in areas of
    onshore flow in the Hurricane Watch area. Near the coast, the
    surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves.

    RAINFALL: Tropical Storm Beryl is expected to produce rainfall
    totals of 3 to 6 inches across Barbados and the Windward Islands.
    This rainfall may produce localized flooding in vulnerable areas.

    For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall and flash flooding
    associated with Tropical Storm Beryl, please see the National
    Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?rainqpf and the Flash Flood Risk
    graphic at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?ero

    SURF: Swells generated by the storm are expected to reach the
    Windward and southern Leeward Islands by late Sunday. These swells
    are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current
    conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.


    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.

    $$
    Forecaster Cangialosi
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