• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0690

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Wed May 8 06:26:40 2024
    ACUS11 KWNS 080626
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 080626=20
    PAZ000-WVZ000-OHZ000-KYZ000-INZ000-ILZ000-MOZ000-080830-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0690
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0126 AM CDT Wed May 08 2024

    Areas affected...Ohio Valley

    Concerning...Tornado Watch 198...199...

    Valid 080626Z - 080830Z

    The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 198, 199 continues.

    SUMMARY...A tornado, wind-damage and hail threat will likely
    continue for several more hours across the Ohio Valley. Additional
    weather watch issuance appears likely.

    DISCUSSION...The latest mosaic radar imagery shows a multi-segmented
    line of strong to severe storms located near the Ohio River from
    southeast Missouri east-northeastward into southwestern
    Pennsylvania. The RAP shows the strongest instability from southeast
    Missouri to central Kentucky, where MLCAPE is estimated to be in the
    2000 to 3500 J/kg range. Along this corridor, regional WSR-88D VWPs
    and RAP forecast soundings have 0-6 km in the 45 to 55 knot range,
    suggesting the supercells and bowing line segments will be possible
    tonight. 0-3 km storm-relative helicities near 300 m2/s2 suggests
    that an isolated tornado threat may accompany the strongest of
    supercells. However, the greater threat should be for wind damage
    associated with the more intense line segments. The threats are
    expected to persist through much of the night, but should become
    somewhat more isolated with time.

    ..Broyles.. 05/08/2024

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!_UGKyXOJhkx3qW3eXw2m9GmvOcMd5UNj2XTaH0asq0FOmjqh6IsrKyPSGyNWVIUp9byKFlVOE= uXE2Dfkoc4aRrUA8Nc$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...CTP...PBZ...RLX...JKL...ILN...LMK...PAH...

    LAT...LON 39947934 39368008 38688167 38318339 37818543 37268759
    36788949 36759012 36859022 37049029 37229015 37398961
    37808837 38648507 39208255 40088047 40578002 40517933
    39947934=20


    =3D =3D =3D
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