ACUS11 KWNS 152239
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 152238=20
NCZ000-SCZ000-160015-
Mesoscale Discussion 0797
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0538 PM CDT Wed May 15 2024
Areas affected...Carolinas
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 245...
Valid 152238Z - 160015Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 245
continues.
SUMMARY...Scattered strong/severe convection will spread across
ww245 this evening. Marginally severe hail and locally damaging
winds remain possible.
DISCUSSION...Water-vapor imagery depicts a mid-level vort
progressing southeast across the Carolinas early this evening.
Considerable amount of convection has developed ahead of this
feature from southern NC into SC, where MLCAPE values are on the
order of 1500 J/kg. Regional radar data suggests the vort is located
over Union County NC and downstream convection is gradually growing
upscale into an MCS-like cluster with embedded weak supercells. MCS
will likely spread east along/near the surface boundary draped
across southern NC into northern SC. Marginally severe hail and
locally damaging winds remain possible with this activity.
..Darrow.. 05/15/2024
...Please see
https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!9U0nXuwVJK8wDSi7eL87Z4ckd5WuYuaQtreXHrKCm9eH2e0iwQCjUjTr81WbF4AO1vV4VJPAw= fcuTK1aSv-1iWmlBCQ$ for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...MHX...RAH...ILM...CHS...CAE...GSP...
LAT...LON 35198128 34897700 33027701 33308128 35198128=20
=3D =3D =3D
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