• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1112

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Sat Jun 1 19:38:26 2024
    ACUS11 KWNS 011938
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 011937=20
    UTZ000-WYZ000-NVZ000-012100-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1112
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0237 PM CDT Sat Jun 01 2024

    Areas affected...parts of northern Utah.

    Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

    Valid 011937Z - 012100Z

    Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

    SUMMARY...A few stronger storms may develop with an increasing
    threat for severe wind gusts this afternoon/evening.

    DISCUSSION...Temperatures have warmed into the upper 70s to low 80s
    with dewpoints in the 30s and 40s across northern Utah. This has
    resulted instability around 250-500 J/kg MLCAPE with some additional
    increase possible as heating continues. A well-defined mid-level
    shortwave trough (on 6.2u water vapor imagery) is moving out of
    eastern Nevada which should provide sufficient lift for scattered
    thunderstorm development this afternoon. These relatively quick
    moving storms with an inverted-V thermodynamic profile will support
    a threat for severe wind gusts this afternoon and early evening.
    Once the boundary layer starts to cool this evening, expect the
    severe wind threat to wane.

    ..Bentley/Smith.. 06/01/2024

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!_kWh83e5iy1cJ-OSfuUbbK1ZFDe-X0Zd0vQzwbCUFkaTsRGx-97lUCUOK62eSZlVySuw-xJWW= l2FsrjxMQSKqKoL0m4$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...SLC...LKN...

    LAT...LON 39531466 40391471 41241417 41871274 41831262 41431101
    40701063 39551205 39351362 39251457 39531466=20


    =3D =3D =3D
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