ACUS11 KWNS 091046
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 091045=20
MOZ000-091215-

Mesoscale Discussion 1215
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0545 AM CDT Sun Jun 09 2024

Areas affected...parts of southwest Missouri

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

Valid 091045Z - 091215Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...There is an increased damaging wind threat across parts of
southwest Missouri over the next 1 to 2 hours.

DISCUSSION...A confined region of increased damaging/severe wind
threat exists along the warm front/outflow boundary across southwest
Missouri. Greater than 50 knots of base velocity is being sampled
from KSGF across western Greene County at less than 500 ft AGL.
Therefore, it is reasonable to assume at least some of this wind is
making it to the surface which would result in some damaging wind
threat. The longevity of this wind threat remains questionable as
its propagation is into the rain-cooled airmass to the east.
Additional development/intensification is possible on the southern
edge of the ongoing severe warned storm. However, convection in this
area has been quite weak thus far, likely due to increasing
inhibition with southern extent. Due to the relatively isolated and
likely shorter duration of this threat, no watch is anticipated.

..Bentley/Hart.. 06/09/2024

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!7mwvxe3E8VWyLMs6lR2N1pNxBUCuUMvojq4HnJY5LnwaibwjKYTewKKsB1pvTb_o7fQYB1Buj= IojFMka4CM4oFYpjL4$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...SGF...

LAT...LON 37709388 37489275 37209214 36929195 36729209 36749294
36879367 37009400 37199407 37399401 37709388=20


=3D =3D =3D
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