• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1311

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Mon Jun 17 23:55:48 2024
    ACUS11 KWNS 172355
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 172355=20
    MTZ000-WYZ000-180130-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1311
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0655 PM CDT Mon Jun 17 2024

    Areas affected...Northeast WY into southeast MT

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 430...

    Valid 172355Z - 180130Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 430
    continues.

    SUMMARY...Some threat for isolated hail and strong/severe gusts will
    continue this evening.

    DISCUSSION...An earlier supercell over southeast MT has weakened
    upon moving into a cooler and less unstable environment. However, a
    couple stronger cells are ongoing this evening from extreme
    southeast MT into northeast WY, and additional storm development and intensification remains possible as a vigorous mid/upper-level
    shortwave trough approaches the region from the interior Northwest.=20

    Weak to moderate buoyancy and effective shear of 50+ kt will
    continue to support occasional supercell structures, with a threat
    of isolated hail and strong/severe gusts. The eastern extent of the
    short-term severe threat will continue to be limited by strong
    MLCINH.

    ..Dean.. 06/17/2024

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!963PRc7DhMWAepnrthoP6z87o7UrzgoAEZrpv7rEOMDm-Ohhl41yfrdR0j9qx9Q7A6J5QucZz= PW7khgsvKwrEFbsuKo$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...UNR...BYZ...RIW...

    LAT...LON 43750633 45800549 46070475 45810438 45250431 44390447
    43990476 43710515 43560596 43750633=20


    =3D =3D =3D
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